KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Miley Cyrus 94%+35.0ptLeader of 26 outcomes
Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$7.4
Liquidity
$8.2K
Medium liquiditySpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Aug 19, 26, 3:45 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
If Madonna performs (or it is announced that they will perform at) the MTV Video Music Awards 2026 during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:official broadcaster of the MTV Video Music AwardsFox NewsMSNBCABCCBSBillboardVarietyRolling StoneCNNMTVReutersofficial websiteEntertainment WeeklyDeadlinethe Associated PressThe Hollywood Reporterofficial social media accounts of confirmed performers
- Additional clarification(s):
- Madonna appears on stage or in the official broadcast or stream; AND
- Madonna actively and perceptibly contributes to a musical performance by singing (including audible lead or backing vocals), rapping, playing a musical instrument, DJ-ing, or conducting a live band; AND
- Is either a scheduled performer, a guest appearance during another artist's set, or is formally announced as a performer by official event organizers or Madonna's official representatives.
- Note: This Contract may resolve on the announcement of Madonna’s anticipated performance at MTV Video Music Awards 2026.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform?
- Kalshi prices Miley Cyrus at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform resolve?
- MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Madonna performs (or it is announced that they will perform at) the MTV Video Music Awards 2026 during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes.
