KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Troye Sivan (99%)
Resolved: Oct 9, 2026, 6:22 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 13, 2026, 2:55 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Troye Sivan99%
Billie Eillish35%
Lorde7%
Troye SivanWon
Billie EillishLost
LordeLost
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KalshiRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the named outcome performs (or it is announced that they will perform) at either of Charli XCX’s headlining performances at the 2026 Austin City Limits Music Festival during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:official broadcaster ofFox NewsMSNBCABCCBSBillboardVarietyRolling StoneCNNMTVReutersofficial websiteEntertainment WeeklyDeadlinethe Associated PressThe Hollywood Reporterofficial social media accounts of confirmed performers
- Additional clarification(s):
- the named outcome appears on stage or in the official broadcast or stream; AND
- the named outcome actively and perceptibly contributes to a musical performance by singing (including audible lead or backing vocals), rapping, playing a musical instrument, DJ-ing, or conducting a live band; AND
- Is either a scheduled performer, a guest appearance during another artist's set, or is formally announced as a performer by official event organizers or the named outcome's official representatives.
- Note: This Contract may resolve on the announcement of the named outcome’s anticipated performance at either of Charli XCX’s headlining performances at the 2026 Austin City Limits Music Festival.