KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 200 39%Market line of 5 lines
Above 200 39%Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6K
Open interest
$4.5K
Medium open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Oct 2, 26, 4:34 PM UTCOct 13, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the number of transit calls through the Panama Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 200 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 175
- If the number of transit calls through the Panama Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 175 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 200
- If the number of transit calls through the Panama Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 200 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 225
- If the number of transit calls through the Panama Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 225 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 250
- If the number of transit calls through the Panama Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 250 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 275
- If the number of transit calls through the Panama Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 275 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.