KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 7:25 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Above 58.2% · —
Loading selected book…
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Stored price
Above 58.2% 50%
Above 58.2% 50%Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$0
Open interest unknownBid / Ask
— / —
Above 58.2%Spread
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Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Oct 31, 26, 4:00 PM UTCNov 5, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 58.2%
Loading selected book…
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 1, 2026
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 4, 2026 is above 58.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards
- This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Nov 5, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Nov 4, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 58.2%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 4, 2026 is above 58.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 59.4%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 4, 2026 is above 59.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 64.4%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 4, 2026 is above 64.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 65.6%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 4, 2026 is above 65.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 67.7%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 4, 2026 is above 67.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 68.9%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 4, 2026 is above 68.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 70.6%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 4, 2026 is above 70.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 74.1%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 4, 2026 is above 74.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 75.9%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 4, 2026 is above 75.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
