KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 10:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
22.0% / 30.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 20, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
100%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?
KalshiWill the Supreme Court uphold the 5th Circuit ruling restricting mifepristone?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRules
If the United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit vacates, reverses, or narrows the hold-separate preliminary injunction entered April 17, 2026, in whole or in part and on any ground in DIRECTV, LLC v.
- Nexstar Media Group, Inc., No. 26-2490, or any consolidated or related appeal from In re: Nexstar-TEGNA Merger Litigation, No. 2:26-cv-00976 (E.D. Cal.) before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The ruling must: Be issued by the United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit in DIRECTV, LLC v.
- Nexstar Media Group, Inc., No. 26-2490, or in a consolidated or related appeal from the same District Court case Address the matter described by the specified judgment Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision
- A decision that vacates or reverses the preliminary injunction, or that reduces the stations, markets, parties, or conduct it reaches, resolves the market to YES.
- Partial relief is enough, and a decision of the court sitting en banc counts.
Open markets
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $113.6K
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.25–$2.5T+8.5pt26.2%
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt21.4%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.4%
+7 more outcomes
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- No93%
- Yes-1.0pt7%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $20.7K
POLYMARKETWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
- 24h Vol
- $16.3K
POLYMARKETWill GameStop acquire eBay?
- No92.1%
- Yes7.9%
- Total Vol
- $2.9M
- 24h Vol
- $15K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the 9th Circuit ease the Nexstar-Tegna injunction??
- Kalshi prices No at 100% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will the 9th Circuit ease the Nexstar-Tegna injunction? resolve?
- Will the 9th Circuit ease the Nexstar-Tegna injunction? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is Will the 9th Circuit ease the Nexstar-Tegna injunction? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit vacates, reverses, or narrows the hold-separate preliminary injunction entered April 17, 2026, in whole or in part and on any ground in DIRECTV, LLC v.