KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 84%
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$205.2
Liquidity
$959.3
Low liquidityBid / Ask
17.0% / 23.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Jul 28, 26, 4:00 PMAug 25, 26, 4:55 AM
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
If Japan Inflation Rate YoY is above Singapore Inflation Rate YoY for July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Only the first non-preliminary value reported for each measure will be used.
- The values will be compared as published in percent.
- A tie resolves No, and subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Open markets
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $43M
- 24h Vol
- $2.9M
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+2.0pt51.5%
- No-2.0pt48.5%
- Total Vol
- $7.8M
- 24h Vol
- $75.3K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $124.3K
- 24h Vol
- $15.8K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+3.5pt30%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $53.3K
- 24h Vol
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8.1K
- 24h Vol
- $7.6K
- How high will inflation get this year?
- US shelter CPI in August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- South Africa inflation rate MoM for August
- US electricity price in August
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026
- CPI in August
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Related Cryptos
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in July??
- Kalshi prices No at 84% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in July? resolve?
- Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in July? is scheduled to resolve on August 25, 2026.
- How is Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in July? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Japan Inflation Rate YoY is above Singapore Inflation Rate YoY for July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.