KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 175,000 · —
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Stored price
At least 190,000 48.5%Market line of 11 lines
At least 190,000 48.5%Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.8K
Open interest
$5.2K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 175,000Spread
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Market data
Updated 31 minutes ago
Nov 5, 26, 5:15 PM UTCNov 12, 26, 1:29 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 175,000
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 12, 2026)
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KalshiUS SPR level for the week ending November 6, 2026
KalshiUS crude oil inventories for the week ending November 6, 2026
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.4% in November 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastEx30-year mortgage rate this week
KalshiRules
If there are at least 190000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Department of Labor
Rules for each outcome
- At least 175,000
- If there are at least 175000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 180,000
- If there are at least 180000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 185,000
- If there are at least 185000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 190,000
- If there are at least 190000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 195,000
- If there are at least 195000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 200,000
- If there are at least 200000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 205,000
- If there are at least 205000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 210,000
- If there are at least 210000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 165,000
- If there are at least 165000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 170,000
- If there are at least 170000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 215,000
- If there are at least 215000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.