KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 411 million barrels · —
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Stored price
Above 409 million barrels 59.5%Market line of 13 lines
Above 409 million barrels 59.5%Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$40
Open interest
$32
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 411 million barrelsSpread
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Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Nov 4, 26, 7:00 PM UTCNov 11, 26, 3:29 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 411 million barrels
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KalshiRules
If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Nov 6, 2026 are strictly above 409 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Energy Information Administration
- The Underlying is the U.S. Commercial Crude Oil (Excl. Lease Stock) inventory level reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) for the week ending Nov 6, 2026. This measure excludes crude oil held in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). EIA reports the statistic in thousand barrels. Values stated in millions of barrels will be converted directly from the EIA-reported value. The market will use the first EIA publication for the specified week. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 411 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Nov 6, 2026 are strictly above 411 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 403 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Nov 6, 2026 are strictly above 403 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 413 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Nov 6, 2026 are strictly above 413 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 404 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Nov 6, 2026 are strictly above 404 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 405 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Nov 6, 2026 are strictly above 405 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 406 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Nov 6, 2026 are strictly above 406 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 407 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Nov 6, 2026 are strictly above 407 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 408 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Nov 6, 2026 are strictly above 408 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 409 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Nov 6, 2026 are strictly above 409 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 412 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Nov 6, 2026 are strictly above 412 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 414 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Nov 6, 2026 are strictly above 414 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 415 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Nov 6, 2026 are strictly above 415 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 410 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Nov 6, 2026 are strictly above 410 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
