KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 66%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.8
Low liquidityBid / Ask
34.0% / 39.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 11:00 PM UTCMar 31, 27, 1:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If BLS reports that Indiana’s Transportation Equipment Manufacturing employment for December 2026 is above 120,800 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- The Underlying is BLS series SMU18000003133600001, All Employees in Transportation Equipment Manufacturing in Indiana, measured in thousands and not seasonally adjusted.
- The 120.8 thousand-job threshold is fixed.
Open markets
Business & Corporate
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Indiana transportation equipment jobs rise YoY??
- Kalshi prices No at 66% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Indiana transportation equipment jobs rise YoY? resolve?
- Will Indiana transportation equipment jobs rise YoY? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2027.
- How is Will Indiana transportation equipment jobs rise YoY? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If BLS reports that Indiana’s Transportation Equipment Manufacturing employment for December 2026 is above 120,800 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.