Above 5,100 jobs
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 89.5%
No 89.5%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$47
Open interest
$1.3K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 10:00 PM UTCApr 30, 27, 1:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiWill the UK Government reverse its current stance by approving at least one new North Sea oil & gas licence in 2026?
Manifold MarketsSecond Trump administration holds at least one oil/gas sale for drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- The Underlying is BLS series SMU22000001021100001, All Employees in Oil and Gas Extraction in Louisiana, measured in thousands and not seasonally adjusted. The 5.1 thousand-job threshold is fixed and will not change if BLS later revises its 2025 value.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
