Before 2027
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Yes · —
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Stored price
Yes 71.5%
Yes 71.5%Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$2.6K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 20, 26, 2:00 PM UTCDec 15, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Yes
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a court block paid early access to Trump's Truth Social posts?
KalshiWill a federal court block a major state AI law before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a court block NYC's horse-carriage ban before 2028?
KalshiUS grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
PolymarketWill the FCC pull a Big Four TV station license?
KalshiCATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Dec 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:U.S. District Court for the District of ColumbiaPACER (Public Access to Court Electronic Records)
- The ruling must: Be issued by any federal court in ABC v. FCC, No. 1:26-cv-02902 (D.D.C.), an appeal of it, or a federal challenge to the April 2026 early renewal order Address the matter described by the specified judgment Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision Partial relief counts. An order barring the Commission only from designating the ABC renewal applications for hearing resolves the market to YES. The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: A temporary restraining order, unless the court converts or extends it into a preliminary injunction An administrative stay entered to allow briefing An order denying a motion to dismiss, or a dismissal for lack of jurisdiction An FCC decision to withdraw, suspend or stop acting on the early renewal proceedings Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order Tentative rulings that are not made final Settlements or voluntary dismissals Administrative or scheduling orders
Rules for each outcome
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.