Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?
5.0 pts (24h)YearlyBusiness & CorporateMacro & Economy6mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 86%
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$163.4
Liquidity
$12.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 14.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 25 minutes ago
May 6, 26, 11:30 PMFeb 23, 27, 1:29 PM
Trends
Rules
If Statistics Canada reports that the decline in Canadian-resident return trips from the United States for 2026 is greater than 20% compared with 2025 in its "Travel between Canada and other countries, December 2026" release, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Statistics Canada
- The relevant figure is the full-year 2026 year-over-year percentage change for “Canadian-resident return trips from the United States,” as stated in Statistics Canada’s release text or related tables.
- If Statistics Canada does not publish a full-year percentage-change figure for 2026, the market will resolve using the percentage change calculated from Statistics Canada’s annual table for the same series.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026??
- Kalshi prices No at 86% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026? resolve?
- Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on February 23, 2027.
- How is Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Statistics Canada reports that the decline in Canadian-resident return trips from the United States for 2026 is greater than 20% compared with 2025 in its "Travel between Canada and other countries, December 2026" release, then the market resolves to Yes.