Decline greater than 20%
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 93.5%
No 93.5%Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$17.2
Open interest
$15.8K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 47 minutes ago
LaggingMay 6, 26, 11:30 PM UTCFeb 23, 27, 1:29 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Statistics Canada
- The relevant figure is the full-year 2026 year-over-year percentage change for “Canadian-resident return trips from the United States,” as stated in Statistics Canada’s release text or related tables. If Statistics Canada does not publish a full-year percentage-change figure for 2026, the market will resolve using the percentage change calculated from Statistics Canada’s annual table for the same series.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.