Target Yield: 5.31498%
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (64%)
Resolved: Oct 23, 2026, 5:30 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 5:22 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
YesWon
NoLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketMacro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Pyth - 30Y UST
- The market resolves based on the closing yield of the one-minute Pyth candlestick for 30-year U.S. Treasury ending at 1:30 PM EDT on Oct 23, 2026. The 30-year U.S. Treasury refers to the US30Y, the current on-the-run benchmark of the 30-year U.S. Treasury Bond as identified on the Source Agency. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 5 decimal places. Yields are expressed as annualized percentages. The opening target and settlement yield each use the closing yield of the one-minute Pyth candlestick immediately preceding their observation time. For a 4:45–5:00 PM EDT market, the opening target uses the candle timestamped 4:44 PM, ending at 4:45 PM; settlement uses the candle timestamped 4:59 PM, ending at 5:00 PM. Candlesticks are timestamped by their start time. If reliable Pyth data is unavailable, the contract’s no-data provisions apply.
Rules for each outcome
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.