Current implied probability
No 97%
No 97%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$533
Low liquidityTraders
0
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Trends
Rules
This market resolves "Yes" if, between 10:04 UTC on October 13, 2026 and the end of 2026, the European Commission (via the EU AI Office) formally requires a provider to restrict, withdraw or recall a general-purpose AI model on the EU market under Article 93 of the AI Act.
- The source is official Commission publications.
- FULL DETAILS
- If, between 10:04 UTC on October 13, 2026 and 23:59:59 UTC on December 31, 2026, the European Commission — including acting through the European AI Office — adopts a decision under Article 93(1)(c) of Regulation (EU) 2024/1689 (the AI Act) requesting a provider of a general-purpose AI model to restrict the making available on the market of, withdraw, or recall that model, this market will resolve to "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Decisions adopted before 10:04 UTC on October 13, 2026 are not taken into account, even if they are announced or reported later.
- The Primary Designated Source is official European Commission publications (the Official Journal of the European Union, Commission press releases, or the AI Office’s pages on digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu), with confirmation by at least one of Reuters, Bloomberg or the Financial Times.
