Current implied probability
No 92%
No 92%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$433.3
Low liquidityTraders
14
Comments
1
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will we have conclusive evidence by 2030 that life on Earth has an extraterrestrial origin?
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KalshiRules
By 2020, mankind still had no irrefutable evidence that life flourished elsewhere other than on Earth.
- This search, however, is becoming more and more intense and Space Agencies around the world plan space missions to discover extraterrestrial life, whether current or that has existed in the past (biosignatures).
- Targets like Mars, moons of Jupiter and Saturn, and atmospheres of planets outside the solar system are the most targeted in this endeavor.
- If by December 31, 2026, any governmental Space Agency officially announces that it has found substantial evidence of the existence of life outside of earth - be it current life or traces of previous life in the form of bio-signatures - this market will resolve to "Yes".