
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
In 2040, will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex?
Will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex? (Excluding: sex desire)
Will evidence of life be discovered on Mars before 2040?
Will a new planet be discovered in our solar system by 2035?
Evidence of life out of Earth by the end of 2026?
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Rules
By 2040, will there be strong evidence of life originating on any moon, asteroid, or planet (other than Earth) in our solar system? This includes life that is non-cellular (e.g., a self-supporting virus), that is extinct (e.g. fossils), and that uses a genetic carrier other than RNA/DNA.
Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:
https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/manifold/by-the-end-of-2040-will-there-be-stAI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:
https://mcp.coinrithm.com/mcp+18 more outcomes
+9 more outcomes
+3 more outcomes
+3 more outcomes
+8 more outcomes