ForecastExLimited verified dataCurrent implied probabilityNo 91%
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$10
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the ECB leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the ECB raise the rate 25bps in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the ECB leave the rate unchanged in October 2026?
ForecastExECB rate cut in 2026?
PolymarketAverage ECB Rate in 2026Q3?
Manifold MarketsECB Interest Rates: September 2026
PolymarketRules
ECB Decision October 29 2026.
- Will the ECB lower the rate 25bps in October 2026? Price reflects the latest available ForecastEx exchange evidence.
Open markets
Central BanksPOLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $512.1K
- 24h Vol
- $51.4K
KALSHIEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
- Hike 1-25bps+1.0pt95.2%
- Maintain current rate+1.0pt1.9%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $91.1K
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase-0.4pt97%
- 50+ bps increase+0.7pt2%
- No change-0.2pt1%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- No change-15.0pt74.3%
- 25 bps increase+15.5pt25.7%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate+3.0pt92.4%
- Hike 25bps-3.0pt1.9%
- Cut 50bps1.9%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $51.2K
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt94.2%
- Hike more than 25bps+1.0pt1.9%
- Maintain current rate1.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
- Bank of England decision in September?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
- Bank of Brazil decision in November?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the ECB lower the rate 25bps in October 2026??
- ForecastEx prices No at 91% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will the ECB lower the rate 25bps in October 2026? resolve?
- Will the ECB lower the rate 25bps in October 2026? is scheduled to resolve on October 29, 2026.
- How is Will the ECB lower the rate 25bps in October 2026? settled?
- ForecastEx settles this market as follows: ECB Decision October 29 2026.