Will the year-over-year change in the Canada Consumer Price Index exceed 1.6% in July 2026?
InflationMonthlyForecastExClosedLimited verified dataThis market resolved: Yes (99%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probabilityYes 99%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$10
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 4 days ago
StaleTrends
99%
1%
Rules
Canada Consumer Price Index July 2026.
- Will the year-over-year change in the Canada Consumer Price Index exceed 1.6% in July 2026? Price reflects the latest available ForecastEx exchange evidence.
Open markets
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $43M
- 24h Vol
- $2.9M
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+2.0pt51.5%
- No-2.0pt48.5%
- Total Vol
- $7.8M
- 24h Vol
- $75.3K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $124.3K
- 24h Vol
- $15.8K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+3.5pt30%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $53.3K
- 24h Vol
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8.1K
- 24h Vol
- $7.6K
- How high will inflation get this year?
- US shelter CPI in August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- South Africa inflation rate MoM for August
- US electricity price in August
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026
- CPI in August
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the year-over-year change in the Canada Consumer Price Index exceed 1.6% in July 2026??
- ForecastEx prices Yes at 99% as of August 17, 2026.
- When does Will the year-over-year change in the Canada Consumer Price Index exceed 1.6% in July 2026? resolve?
- Will the year-over-year change in the Canada Consumer Price Index exceed 1.6% in July 2026? is scheduled to resolve on August 17, 2026.
- How is Will the year-over-year change in the Canada Consumer Price Index exceed 1.6% in July 2026? settled?
- ForecastEx settles this market as follows: Canada Consumer Price Index July 2026.