PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 94.1%+1.6pt
Marktqualitat
80 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
8683,1 €
Liquidität
35.200,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.3% / 5.7%
Spread
0.4 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-2.3 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
5. Nov. 25, 18:48 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will NATO article 5 be instigated before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnother NATO article 4 by which date?
PolymarketWhat is the next country to invoke NATO Article 5?
Manifold MarketsWill Article 7 of the EU be employed against Hungary before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+0.5pt73%
- September 18+1.0pt69%
- September 11+5.5pt66%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 558.057,8 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.5pt75%
- New People (NL)-1.6pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.1pt3%
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.4pt50%
- October 3128.8%
- September 30-1.0pt11.9%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-4.0pt30%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-4.0pt22%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt10%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 3110%
- November 30-1.5pt5%
- October 31-1.2pt3%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für NATO article 5 before 2027??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 94% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird NATO article 5 before 2027? entschieden?
- NATO article 5 before 2027? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird NATO article 5 before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".