Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
---NO ARTICLE 5 BEFORE 2030--- 45.8%Führend unter 14 Optionen
---NO ARTICLE 5 BEFORE 2030--- 45.8%Prognostiker
40
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet15. Nov. 22, 15:48 UTC31. Dez. 29, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What is the NEXT country to invoke NATO Article 4?
Manifold MarketsWill any other NATO member country invoke Article 4 by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsNATO article 5 before 2027?
PolymarketAnother NATO article 4 by which date?
PolymarketWill NATO article 5 be instigated before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Emmanuel Macron invoke Article 16 before the end of his mandate?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
market for Article 4:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/kolotom99/what-is-the-next-country-to-invoke-82682cdecb35)Update 2026-08-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The trigger is defined as an official action.
- If multiple countries trigger Article 5 at the same time, the market will split resolve between them.