PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitDecember 31, 2%-0.1%
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
134,6 €
Liquidität
16.038,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
2.0% / 2.6%
Spread
30.0%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-3.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
13. Feb. 26, 0:0831. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
December 31,2%
Volumentrend
$1533. Juli21T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
1908,3 €Ja: 77%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
鹅腿阿姨卖鸭腿事件:市监部门最终会做出哪种处理?(2026/8/31前) / "Goose-leg Auntie" duck-leg case: final penalty?
155,2 €A. 截止日前无任何官方处理结论(仍在调查/不了了之): 3.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
0 €Ja: 11%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
55.677 €Ja: 3%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWho invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
1143,8 €China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIf Donald Trump wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term?
453,9 €Ja: 6.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Lai is released from custody by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Lai is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
- If Lai is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
- Transporting Lai to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
- Extradition of Lai to another country where he remains in custody will also not count.