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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Geopolitik
  3. Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

0.1% (24h)One-OffGeopolitikChinaCrime & Justice18T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 1%
Marktqualitat

44 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

4,4 €

Liquidität

17.697,3 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

0.9% / 1.1%

Spread

22.2%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-0.3%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

13. Feb. 26, 0:0930. Juni 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes1%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Lai is released from custody by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If Lai is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
  • If Lai is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
  • Transporting Lai to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
  • Extradition of Lai to another country where he remains in custody will also not count.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,613.69+2.10%EthereumETH$1,648.43+1.32%SolanaSOL$64.97+1.56%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+1.54%XRPXRP$1.11+0.34%BNBBNB$594.66+1.63%

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Lai is released from custody by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If Lai is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
  • If Lai is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
  • Transporting Lai to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
  • Extradition of Lai to another country where he remains in custody will also not count.