Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 80.1%
Prognostiker
48
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet15. Sept. 23, 01:46 UTC22. Sept. 43, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a civil war in Hungary in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a civil war with at least 1,000 deaths in Venezuela in 2026?
Manifold MarketsSudan civil war ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketWill there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?
FutuurRegeln
Civil war: more of 25% of the US by area is not functionally governed by the US government.
- Resolves in 2043 or whenever the civil war occurred.
