PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 14%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
9250,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätKommentare
2
7d-Änderung
-0.9 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
14. Nov. 25, 20:30 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
[ACX 2026] Will there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?
FutuurCivil War in Iran in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a civil war in Hungary in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
- Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire.
- Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date.
- Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
Offene Märkte
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- Gesamtvolumen
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Sudan civil war ceasefire by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet December mit 14% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Sudan civil war ceasefire by which date? entschieden?
- Sudan civil war ceasefire by which date? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Sudan civil war ceasefire by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.