Will the 2026 Time Person of the Year be a single person?
US-PolitikOne-OffGesundheit & MedizinRussland / Ukraine1MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 52.9%
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
9. Nov. 26, 22:39 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year?
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if TIME magazine names exactly one individual human being as the 2026 "Person of the Year" upon its official announcement.
- This market resolves to NO if TIME chooses any of the following for the 2026 title:
- Multiple named individuals jointly (e.g., 2020's Joe Biden and Kamala Harris).
- A group or collective archetype (e.g., 2017's "The Silence Breakers", 2014's "The Ebola Fighters", 2011's "The Protester").
- An object, technology, or abstract concept (e.g., 1982's "The Computer", 2006's "You").