Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Mary Peltola 56.5%-1.0ptFührend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
71 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2727,9 €
Liquidität
63.098 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
42.0% / 44.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
31. Jan. 26, 4:303. Nov. 27, 15:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Dan Sullivan45%
Plattformen vergleichen· Mary Peltola
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt82% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Hoch | 60% | 0pt | 1508 € | 92.635,6 € | vor 13 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 KalshiDiese SeiteAktivste | Mittel | 61% | +1pt | 2727,9 € | 63.098 € | vor 13 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Alaska Senate Election Winner
3.0 pts3Mon
+2.5pt59.4%
-3.0pt40.6%
0%
+26 weitere Ergebnisse
78 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen326.358,9 €
24h-Volumen1508 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements.
- Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$3.1k2. Juli26T Daten27. Juli
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If Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements.
- Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified.