Will TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person?
US-PolitikOne-OffKIRussland / Ukraine2MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 58.1%
Prognostiker
27
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 30 Minuten
11. Dez. 25, 20:45 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
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Manifold MarketsWill Moltbook be TIME person of the year 2026?
Manifold MarketsTIME Person of the Year 2026
FutuurRegeln
This market resolves YES if Time's 2026 Person of the Year is exactly one specific human person, with no addendums or funny business (e.g. "Taylor Swift," "Ben Bernanke," "Donald Trump," etc.).
- This market is different from the other similar market, as this market will resolve NO in cases of a person + a concept.
- This market resolves NO if Time's 2026 Person of the Year is:
- A group or concept (e.g. "The Architects of A.I.," "You")
- A person and a concept (e.g. "Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the Spirit of Ukraine," or theoretically "Sam Altman and ChatGPT")
- More than one specific named individual (e.g. "Joe Biden and Kamala Harris", "Ronald Reagan and Yuri Andropov")
