Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 65.6%
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13
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binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet11. Dez. 25, 18:56 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiTIME Person of the Year 2026
PolymarketWho will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?
Manifold MarketsWill AI be Time's person of the year in 2025 OR 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person?
Manifold MarketsTIME Person of the Year 2026
FutuurRegeln
This market resolves YES if the winner of Time's Person of the Year in 2026 is given to one human person.
- This market would resolve YES for:
- A single individual person (e.g. "Donald Trump")
- An individual plus a concept or non-human entity (e.g. "Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the Spirit of Ukraine")
- It would resolve NO for:
- More than one person, or a nonspecific group (e.g. "Joe Biden and Kamala Harris" or "The Architects of AI")
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 695.731,8 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 294.676,9 €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 291.319,2 €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 66% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human? entschieden?
- Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves YES if the winner of Time's Person of the Year in 2026 is given to one human person.