Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 94.5%
Prognostiker
74
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 46 Minuten
Verzogert12. Feb. 24, 20:03 UTC2. Jan. 27, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be a single-person unicorn before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a single-person unicorn before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a single-person funded, owned and operated unicorn before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a one-person unicorn by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year?
PolymarketJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Will resolve true if there is a company valued at $1b dollars on December 31st 2026, which only has one meaningful human employee.
- If it has human contractors doing a total of more than 40 hours per week, it doesn't count.
