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Veraltet6. Feb. 24, 10:41 UTC1. Jan. 31, 15:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be a single-person unicorn before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
The outcome is true if by the end of 2030 a public company achieves the market cap of 1 billion dollars while having only one funder and employee.
- Or a one-person private company raises enough money that places it at a valuation above 1B, reported in a reputable news source.
- https://fortune.com/2024/02/04/sam-altman-one-person-unicorn-silicon-valley-founder-myth/
- For the purpose of this market and to ensure that the company is not just a scam,with "enough money" we mean over 10$ million.
- Update 2025-08-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Employee is meant in the legal sense.
- External consultants/contractors are allowed and do not count as employees.
Offene Märkte
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M96%
- $25M95%
- $50M85%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 180.117,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 180.117,2 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+8.0pt57.6%
- 65-89+13.0pt34.3%
- 90-114+0.5pt4%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt97%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet+0.1pt1%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 182.086,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 60.431,6 €
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will there be a one-person unicorn by 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 52% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will there be a one-person unicorn by 2030? entschieden?
- Will there be a one-person unicorn by 2030? soll am 1. Januar 2031 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will there be a one-person unicorn by 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The outcome is true if by the end of 2030 a public company achieves the market cap of 1 billion dollars while having only one funder and employee.