Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 54.8%
Prognostiker
26
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
3. März 24, 20:59 UTC2. Jan. 31, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be a single-person unicorn before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a single-person unicorn before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a one-person unicorn by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a single-person funded, owned and operated unicorn before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRegeln
Will resolve true if there is a company valued at $1b dollars on December 31st 2030, which only has one meaningful human employee.
- If it has human contractors doing a total of more than 40 hours per week, it doesn't count.
