PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Paul Mescal 31%+1.4ptFührend unter 49 Optionen
Marktqualitat
57 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
708,4 €
Liquidität
8273,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
15.7% / 18.9%
Spread
3.2 pt
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
-2.9 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
18. Mai 26, 23:0331. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Paul Mescal31%
Plattformen vergleichen· Paul Mescal
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste insgesamt82% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Mittel | 41% | — | 1651,4 € | 655.586,6 € | vor 18 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| PolymarketDiese Seite | Mittel | 31% | — | 708,4 € | 8273,4 € | vor 18 Minuten | |
| PolymarketAktivste82% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Niedrig | 0% | — | 11.238,6 € | 0 € | vor 25 Tagen | Öffnen → |
 Manifold Markets82% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 38% | — | — | — | vor 27 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Next James Bond actor?
0.2 ptsGeschlossen
Aufgelöst
No Bond chosen (100%)
+0.2pt100%
-0.1pt0%
0%
+28 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadNiedrige Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen3,4 Mio. €
24h-Volumen11.238,6 €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
3J
41%
21%
16%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
74 • Mittlere QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen1,2 Mio. €
24h-Volumen1651,4 €
KALSHIAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Next James Bond? (Including actually likely answers)
2J
38.3%
27.4%
5.3%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose29 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
- If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$1.9k88.0%KALSHITom Holland — Novor 6 Tagen
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KALSHIScott Rose-Marsh — Novor 12 Tagen$4.4k96.0%KALSHIRichard Madden — Novor 12 Tagen
KALSHIRichard Madden — Novor 12 Tagen$2.9k96.0%KALSHICharlie Hunnam — Novor 12 Tagen
KALSHICharlie Hunnam — Novor 12 TagenVolumentrend
$8072. Juli26T Daten27. Juli
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
- If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.