KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jan 1, 2029 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jan 1, 2029 88%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Before Jan 1, 2029 88%Marktqualitat
72 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
5044,3 €
Open Interest
468.546,9 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Before Jan 1, 2029Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
12. Okt. 26, 18:00 UTC1. Feb. 27, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Before Oct 1, 2026Verloren
Before Sep 1, 2026Verloren
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jan 1, 2029
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by which date?
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Pete Hegseth next be noticably drunk in public as Secretary of Defense?
Manifold MarketsPete Hegseth departure announced?
KalshiRegeln
If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Pete HegsethThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersU.S. Department of WarDepartment of DefenseCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- Pete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.