Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 63.1%
Prognostiker
1
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet31. März 26, 16:21 UTC31. Dez. 28, 05:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2029?
Manifold MarketsUkraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
PolymarketU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
PolymarketIsraeli forces enter Beirut by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina, the capital of Kachin State, by December 31, 2028.
- YES if by December 31, 2028:
- Northern Command HQ captured or surrendered
- Myitkyina Air Base under KIA control
- No organized junta battalion resistance
- KIA administering civilian affairs
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 581.272,5 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 55,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 96.847,5 €
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2028??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 63% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2028? entschieden?
- Will KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2028? soll am 31. Dezember 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2028? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina, the capital of Kachin State, by December 31, 2028.