Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 75%
Prognostiker
0
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 52 Minuten
Verzogert31. März 26, 16:21 UTC31. Dez. 29, 05:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2027?
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KalshiRegeln
This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina, the capital of Kachin State, by December 31, 2029.
- YES if by December 31, 2029:
- Northern Command HQ captured or surrendered
- Myitkyina Air Base under KIA control
- No organized junta battalion resistance
- KIA administering civilian affairs
