Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 88%
Prognostiker
62
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binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet12. Feb. 26, 06:13 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If Iran’s regime falls by Dec 31 2027, will the trigger be external?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran's regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Iran's regime falls in 2026, will it be a surprise?
Manifold MarketsWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
PolymarketWill the Iranian Regime fall before October?
MyriadRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM Pacific Time (PT), the Islamic Republic of Iran is no longer the governing regime of Iran.
- This includes scenarios in which the regime is overthrown, collapses, or otherwise ceases to govern, and a fundamentally different system replaces it.
- Qualifying scenarios may include:
- Military coup
- Voluntary abdication of power
- Establishment of a new constitutional order, provisional government, or revolutionary authority
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-6.0pt74%
- September 18-6.0pt69%
- September 11-10.0pt61%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 363.008,4 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt3%
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+3.0pt79.2%
- Yes-3.0pt20.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 245.496,1 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt49.6%
- October 31-1.0pt29.1%
- September 30-1.0pt12%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 301%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 62,8 Mio. €
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Iran's regime fall before end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 88% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Iran's regime fall before end of 2027? entschieden?
- Will Iran's regime fall before end of 2027? soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Iran's regime fall before end of 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM Pacific Time (PT), the Islamic Republic of Iran is no longer the governing regime of Iran.