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Daten vom 26.10.2026, 04:02 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
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Veraltet7. Aug. 23, 19:28 UTC31. Dez. 28, 21:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will any of the 21 republics of Russia secede from the Russian Federation before 2030
Manifold MarketsWhich Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill the Russian Federation break up into multiple independent states before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine invade any additional "minor constituent" (check description) of the Russian Federation before 2030-1-1?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Also resolves as yes if Russian Federation ceases to exist.