Will the Russian Federation break up into multiple independent states before 2030
One-OffGeopolitikRussia / Ukraine3J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 89.7%
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Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet18. Jan. 23, 12:13 UTC1. Jan. 30, 12:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketRegeln
For clarity, if a part of Russia secedes as an independent state this would resolve positively.
- If Crimea went back to Ukraine that would not be enough.
- If Crimea became an independent country, that would.
Offene Märkte
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- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 22,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 470.753,1 €
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- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
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- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Yes+0.2pt4%
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- 24h-Volumen
- 100.050,2 €
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- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
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- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the Russian Federation break up into multiple independent states before 2030?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 90% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the Russian Federation break up into multiple independent states before 2030 entschieden?
- Will the Russian Federation break up into multiple independent states before 2030 soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the Russian Federation break up into multiple independent states before 2030 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: For clarity, if a part of Russia secedes as an independent state this would resolve positively.