Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseBetter, cheaper GLP-1 weight-loss drugs are coming, and in pill form, too. 96.9%Führend unter 6 Optionen
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Which of Simon Willison's predictions from 2026 will come true?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these predictions from @tanya_sabrinaaa will come true in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true?
Manifold MarketsWill ANY of the three major “AI 2027” predictions come true?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Tom Standage’s ten trends to watch in 2026 - Tom Standage’s ten trends to watch in 2026
- A letter from the editor of The World Ahead
- I selected the most resolvable predictions from the article.
- Which ones will be obviously resolvable from standard media outlets in 2026?
- With luck, the fragile peace in Gaza will hold.
- Conflicts will grind on in Ukraine, Sudan and Myanmar.