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Veraltet12. Juni 25, 00:25 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
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Which of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true?
Manifold MarketsWhich of Simon Willison's predictions from 2026 will come true?
Manifold MarketsWhich "The Economist" "World Ahead" predictions for 2026 will come true?
Manifold MarketsWhich "AI 2027" predictions will be right by Late 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
Polymarket3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Three prongs:
- 1) China agreeing to AI pause or
- 2) open AI having $3T revenue or
- 3) open AI having 80% of global compute by eoy 2028
- Inspired by my offer to @ScottAlexander on Twitter
- https://x.com/abcampbell/status/1909178653050880152