Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose3 years: Someone will build a new browser using mainly AI-assisted coding and it won’t even be a surprise 100%Führend unter 7 Optionen
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8
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
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Aktualisiert vor 19 Stunden
Veraltet14. Jan. 26, 02:02 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which "The Economist" "World Ahead" predictions for 2026 will come true?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these predictions from @tanya_sabrinaaa will come true in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Simon Willison taste a RIMU BERRY by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill ANY of the three major “AI 2027” predictions come true?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRegeln
From https://simonwillison.net/2026/Jan/8/llm-predictions-for-2026/
- If Simon publishes evaluations of his own predictions, I'll resolve accordingly.
- If no evaluations are forthcoming, I may resolve based on my own judgement.