When will the next US recession be?

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Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will the next US recession be??

Manifold Markets bewertet Before Q1 2030 mit 69% (Stand: 24. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird When will the next US recession be? entschieden?

When will the next US recession be? soll am 1. Januar 2031 entschieden werden.

Wie wird When will the next US recession be? abgerechnet?

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution Criteria

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KALSHI

Mexico unemployment rate in October

• Above 2.6%38.5%
• Above 2.7%27%
• Above 2.8%22.5%

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Gesamtvolumen

21.024,6 €

24h-Volumen

15.060,4 €

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.3%97.5%
• Above 3.0%98.5%
• Above 3.1%98.5%

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above 0.0%98.5%
• Above -0.1%98.5%
• Above 0.1%89.5%

POLYMARKET

US economic state at the end of 2026?

• Overheating+11.0pt88.2%
• Soft Landing-7.5pt9.8%
• Slack-0.1pt1%

+1 weitere Ergebnisse

KALSHI

CPI YoY in December

• Above 3.0%96.5%
• Above 3.1%95.5%
• Above 3.3%94.5%

KALSHI

CPI in November

• Above -0.1%+3.0pt90.5%
• Above 0.0%+5.0pt82.5%
• Above 0.1%+4.0pt

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