Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 95.3%
Prognostiker
142
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet3. Sept. 25, 13:07 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will the next US recession start?
KalshiUS recession in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS recession by end of 2027?
PolymarketWhen will the next US recession be?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will the next US recession begin?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the Presidency? Will there be a US recession between 2025 and 2028 (inclusive)?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves yes if there are two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth in the United States from Q1 2026 to Q4 2026 inclusive, according to advance estimates from the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
- Otherwise resolves no.