KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitQ4 2024 1%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
157.592,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.3% / 51.0%
Spread
16900.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Minuten
19. März 25, 14:0031. Dez. 26, 15:00
Trends
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Q4 20241%
Volumentrend
$2222. Juli19T Daten23. Juli
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
10.569,7 €Above 3.4%: 31%KALSHI
KALSHI
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3863,5 €0-1%: 56%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Recession this year?
3245,3 €Ja: 10%KALSHI
KALSHI
2026: Trump's dream year?
1758,6 €Ja: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?
1524,7 €Soft Landing: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US recession by end of 2026?
467,7 €Ja: 12%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
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If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q4 2024, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification 4/15/25 3:00 AM ET: The determination for this market will be based on which quarter NBER highlights (independent of the month they highlight).
- For example, the most recent recession written as "February 2020 (2019Q4)" would resolve YES for the market called "Q4 2019" (if this was listed).
- If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q1 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q2 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q3 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.