Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of October? [Polymarket]
One-OffGeopolitikMiddle East1MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 93.4%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
2. Sept. 26, 15:11 UTC31. Okt. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
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PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and Oct 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of October? [Polymarket]?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 93% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of October? [Polymarket] entschieden?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of October? [Polymarket] soll am 31. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of October? [Polymarket] abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and Oct 30, 2026.