Manifold MarketsKein KYCAktuelle Community-Prognose1. April 30 0.9%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
20
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Tagen
Veraltet5. Apr. 26, 20:431. Jan. 27, 0:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
1. April 301%
Verwandte Märkte
Nothing Ever Happens: July
3572 €Nothing: 80%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
296,6 €Before August: 5%
KALSHI
KALSHIStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of July? [Polymarket]
263,7 €Ja: 49%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill there be a food shortage related to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz?
63,2 €Ja: 55.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Rystad's Gulf energy infrastructure repair estimate exceed 35 billion on June 30, 2026?
1,8 €Ja: 87.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
175.990,9 €December 31: 42%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Ras Laffan blast spotlights Gulf shipping as Polymarket puts 20+ Hormuz at 99%Blockchain.News
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and the corresponding date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.