Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose6. Never in 2026 99%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
24
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet5. Apr. 26, 20:431. Jan. 27, 0:59
Trends
Regeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and the corresponding date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? · Before Jul 1, 2027 47%
Offene Märkte
Middle East
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-1.8pt66%
- October 31-8.5pt41%
- September 30-3.0pt26%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 15,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 350.985,5 €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 31-3.0pt8%
- November 30-2.0pt6%
- October 31-1.0pt4%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jul 1, 2027+2.0pt47%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2027-4.0pt24%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-5.0pt36.1%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt22.7%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt11.3%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22+1.1pt98%
- August 2595%
- August 31-1.0pt86%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by which date?
- August 310%
- August 150%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 19,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 101.652,2 €
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Al-Riyadh vs Al Nassr
- Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will Iran target a Arab country on?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ...?
- Manifold Markets bewertet 6. Never in 2026 mit 99% (Stand: 21. August 2026).
- Wann wird Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ... entschieden?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ... soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ... abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and the corresponding date.
- Wo wird Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ... außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Kalshi gelistet.