PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitDecember 31 30%+1.0%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
52.449,4 €
Liquidität
161.612 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
4.3% / 4.8%
Spread
11.6%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+0.2%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
9. März 26, 2:5931. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Gewähltes Ergebnis
December 3130%
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Iran leadership change by...?
6Mon
0%
0%
0%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose28 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen11.233,8 €
24h-Volumen170,3 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.