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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Geopolitik
  3. US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

5.3% (24h)One-OffGeopolitikMiddle East
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
July 31
July 31 56%-8.0%
Führend unter 17 Optionen
Marktqualitat

77 / 100

Hohe Qualität
24h-Volumen

3,3 Mio. €

Liquidität

311.991,4 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

- / 0.1%

7d-Änderung

-15.9%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
May 28
May 28
0%
May 27
May 27
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

July 3156%

Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. officially announces an extension of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, defined as a publicly announced commitment to the continued halt of direct military engagement with Iran or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.
  • A qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the U.S. government that the U.S. has either:
  • Extended its commitment to the ceasefire, either as a dated/time-based extension (e.g. a 60 day extension) or through an explicit statement that the ceasefire has been extended.
  • Renewed the existing ceasefire as part of a broader peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue.

Verwandte Märkte

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

3,8 Mio. €
December 31: 68%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

812.380 €
June 30: 31%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

713.853,7 €
Ja: 2%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

4587,3 €
Ja: 1.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

How long will “indefinite extension” US x Iran ceasefire hold? (Weeks)

1856,4 €
3 weeks+ (May 12th, 1pm): 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
US-Iran nuclear deal?

US-Iran nuclear deal?

752,4 €
Before July: 8%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,593.48+1.72%EthereumETH$1,651.46+1.34%SolanaSOL$65.03+0.78%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+1.01%XRPXRP$1.12-0.39%BNBBNB$595.04+1.22%

Verwandte Nachrichten

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Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. officially announces an extension of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, defined as a publicly announced commitment to the continued halt of direct military engagement with Iran or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.
  • A qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the U.S. government that the U.S. has either:
  • Extended its commitment to the ceasefire, either as a dated/time-based extension (e.g. a 60 day extension) or through an explicit statement that the ceasefire has been extended.
  • Renewed the existing ceasefire as part of a broader peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue.