Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseDec 31 22%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
29
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet10. März 26, 1:011. Jan. 27, 0:58
Trends
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
June 301%
Plattformen vergleichen· Dec 31
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Iran leadership change by which date?
0.1 pts5Mon
-0.5pt37%
21%
-1.0pt11%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
74 • Mittlere QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen18,4 Mio. €
24h-Volumen56.509,3 €
POLYMARKET
Auch verfügbar auf Futuur
Iran leadership change by which date?
5Mon
30%
5%
4%
25 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen354,8 €
24h-Volumen0 €
FUTUURRegeln
Each answer will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, the answer will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$3.0k38.0%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by June 30, 2027? — YesParz1vaIgestern
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by June 30, 2027? — YesParz1vaIgestern$4.1k93.0%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by August 31? — NoMrNoItAllgestern
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by August 31? — NoMrNoItAllgestern$10.0k98.5%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — Nosharrdiovorgestern
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — Nosharrdiovorgestern$1.5k96.0%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — Nononkenny90vor 3 Tagen
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — Nononkenny90vor 3 Tagen$2.9k73.0%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by December 31? — NoFATMANvor 3 Tagen
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by December 31? — NoFATMANvor 3 Tagen$4.9k93.3%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoScottyNooovor 6 Tagen
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoScottyNooovor 6 Tagen$2.2k94.9%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoRizzEmWithTheTismvor 7 Tagen
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoRizzEmWithTheTismvor 7 Tagen$6.3k96.4%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoStudentMoneyvor 11 Tagen
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoStudentMoneyvor 11 TagenVolumentrend
$158. Juli10T Daten27. Juli
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Each answer will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, the answer will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.