Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 16.07.2026, 08:40 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-2
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseMarch 13 0%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
29
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Tagen
Veraltet10. März 26, 1:011. Jan. 27, 0:58
Trends
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
June 301%
Plattformen vergleichen· Dec 31
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Iran leadership change by which date?
0.5%5Mon
-2.5%37%
-4.0%22%
+1.0%12%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen18,4 Mio. €
24h-Volumen144.893,2 €
POLYMARKET
Auch verfügbar auf Futuur
Iran leadership change by which date?
5Mon
30%
5%
4%
28 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen355,1 €
24h-Volumen0 €
FUTUURRegeln
Each answer will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, the answer will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$3.0k38.0%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by June 30, 2027? — YesParz1vaIvor 57 m
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by June 30, 2027? — YesParz1vaIvor 57 m$4.1k93.0%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by August 31? — NoMrNoItAllvor 8 Std.
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by August 31? — NoMrNoItAllvor 8 Std.$10.0k98.5%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — Nosharrdiogestern
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — Nosharrdiogestern$1.5k96.0%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — Nononkenny90vorgestern
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — Nononkenny90vorgestern$2.9k73.0%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by December 31? — NoFATMANvorgestern
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by December 31? — NoFATMANvorgestern$4.9k93.3%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoScottyNooovor 5 Tagen
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoScottyNooovor 5 Tagen$2.2k94.9%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoRizzEmWithTheTismvor 6 Tagen
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoRizzEmWithTheTismvor 6 Tagen$6.3k96.4%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoStudentMoneyvor 10 Tagen
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoStudentMoneyvor 10 TagenVolumentrend
$188. Juli8T Daten16. Juli
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Each answer will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, the answer will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.