Manifold MarketsKein KYCAktuelle Community-PrognoseMarch 13 0%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
28
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Tagen
Veraltet10. März 26, 1:011. Jan. 27, 0:58
Trends
0%
0%
Gewähltes Ergebnis
June 308%
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Iran leadership change by...?
0.2%6Mon
+1.0%30%
+0.2%5%
0%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen15 Mio. €
24h-Volumen52.453,8 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
Each answer will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, the answer will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Verwandte Märkte
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
4,5 Mio. €December 31: 68%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
2,8 Mio. €July 31: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4587,1 €Ja: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow long will “indefinite extension” US x Iran ceasefire hold? (Weeks)
1856,4 €3 weeks+ (May 12th, 1pm): 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US-Iran nuclear deal?
778,6 €Before July: 8%
KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto News
The Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto News
No-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.News
Major cryptocurrencies under pressure as oil jumps 3%Coindesk
Year-end odds on Israel–Indonesia ties shift in PolymarketBlockchain.News
US Sanctions Iran’s Nobitex Crypto Exchange Over Sanctions EvasionBlockchain.NewsRegeln
Each answer will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, the answer will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.