Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
CommoditiesOne-OffGeopolitikMiddle EastTrade Policy3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 87.1%
Prognostiker
26
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet21. Apr. 26, 13:38 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ...
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by January 31? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of October? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This description was generated by AI.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, there are no significant restrictions, detentions, or military-backed disruptions to commercial shipping transiting the Strait of Hormuz compared to pre-2023 levels, as reported by major international maritime authorities or reputable news outlets.
- The market resolves to NO if, at any point throughout 2026, incidents such as the seizure of vessels by state actors, declared maritime exclusion zones, or significant, sustained disruptions to commercial traffic originating from geopolitical tensions persist or reoccur.
- Relevant sources for determining the status of shipping include reports from the International Maritime Organization (IMO), the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO), and major international wire services (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press).
- If sources are conflicting or ambiguous, the market will resolve based on the consensus reported by major international news outlets regarding whether "normal" transit conditions have returned.
Offene Märkte
Commodities
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 414.544,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 265.668,3 €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 126.901,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 126.901,8 €
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86591%
+67 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 113.832,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 113.134,1 €
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 112.372,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 110.525,7 €
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 113.578,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
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- Ohio gas prices tomorrow
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 87% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026? entschieden?
- Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This description was generated by AI.