Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 93.4%
Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet17. März 25, 05:29 UTC1. Jan. 27, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will US troops be deployed to Ukraine-Russia border in 2026?
Manifold MarketsFrench, Polish, German and/or British troops deployed to Ukraine by end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves according to the Wikipedia page
- https://de.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Auslandseins%C3%A4tze_der_Bundeswehr which tracks abroad missions of the Bundeswehr.
- Resolves Yes if there is
- an ongoing mission (table "Laufende Einsätze") in Ukraine with a start date before 2027
- an other mission / commitment ("Weitere Missionen / einsatzgleiche Verpflichtungen") in Ukraine with a start date before 2027
- Resolves to official statements if the Wikipedia page ceases to exist or stops being updated.